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GreyRhino newsletter Edition April 2025
Discover the GreyRhino Newsletter published by iMB.Solutions!
Stay ahead of the curve with the GreyRhino newsletter, your go-to source for insightful analysis and expert commentary straight out of the project missions. Curated by our partners, this newsletter dives deep into the "grey rhino" events—highly probable, high-impact threats that we often overlook.
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Forecasting Fiascos: Lessons from Brazil’s Economy and US Election Polls
As we step into a new year, it's a perfect time to reflect on the past and learn from it. One area worth pondering is the notable instances when pollsters and economic analysts have gotten their predictions terribly wrong. These moments of miscalculation can teach us valuable lessons about the nature of forecasting and the importance of critical thinking. There are only two things that can help against this: firstly, accept that we are operating in a non-linear environment and secondly, keep your brain safe!